What one political scientist thinks about the federal election in Manitoba
As Manitobans wait for the polls to close for the federal election, one political scientist is weighing in on what could happen in the province.
Christopher Adams, who is an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, thinks some ridings may be too close to call by the end of the night.
“I think there will be some ridings in Manitoba, particularly in Winnipeg that will go into tomorrow when they start counting the mail-in ballots,” said Adams.
Once the votes start to be counted, Adams said out of the 14 ridings in the province, there are a few that he has his eyes on.
“The most important I think is Winnipeg South. The voters have always put Winnipeg South onto the government’s side with each election and that goes back to 1984.”
He said Winnipeg South represents several groups in the area such as new Canadians and university students.
Adams added the other riding to be aware of inside Winnipeg is Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley.
“That constituency on the western side of the city has a blend of suburbia plus the city itself.”
That riding is currently held by Marty Morantz of the Conservatives who took the seat from Doug Eyolfson of the Liberals in 2019.
Another riding in Winnipeg Adams mentioned is Winnipeg North, noting it could be a battle between the Liberals and NDP.
Outside of Winnipeg, Adams is suggesting people look north to the riding of Churchill-Keewatinook Aski. It is currently held by Niki Ashton of the NDP, but he said it’s possible there could be a new MP.
“Shirley Robinson has been endorsed by the head of the Assembly of Manitoba Chiefs, Arlen Dumas, and Shirley Robinson is a First Nations woman from one of the band councils. So that could be an upset as well.”
Adams was also asked what role the People’s Party of Canada (PPC) could play in Manitoba in deciding candidates.
He said the ridings that are Conservative strongholds could see some votes go toward the PPC, but he doesn’t think any candidates will be heading to parliament from the PPC.
“I do think where the PPC might have an impact is the suburban ridings, like the Headingley area or the St. Norbert area, where they might take a bite out of the Conservative support.”
Adams said some of the ridings in the province may not be completely known until Tuesday which is when the mail-in ballots will be counted.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
NEW From yearning for a change to cost of living, why some Canadians have left or may leave the country
For some immigrants, their dreams of permanently settling in Canada have taken an unexpected twist.
NEW Capital gains tax change 'shortsighted' and 'sows division' business groups tell Freeland
Forging ahead with increasing Canada's capital gains inclusion rate 'sows division,' and is a 'shortsighted' way to improve the deficit, business groups are warning Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland.
Minister said 'hundreds' of Canadians might use Gaza visa. More than 7,500 applied.
An immigration lawyer in Toronto says new figures from the federal government show just how 'grudging' Ottawa's efforts have been to rescue Canadians' family members from the war in the Gaza Strip.
Police handcuff man trying to enter Drake's Toronto mansion
Toronto police say a man was taken into custody outside Drake's Bridle Path mansion Wednesday afternoon after he tried to gain access to the residence.
Canucks claw out 5-4 comeback win over Oilers in Game 1
Dakota Joshua had a goal and two assists and the Vancouver Canucks scored three third-period goals to claw out a 5-4 comeback victory over the Edmonton Oilers in Game 1 of their second-round playoff series Wednesday.
U.S. presidential candidate RFK Jr. had a brain worm, has recovered, campaign says
Independent U.S. presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had a parasite in his brain more than a decade ago, but has fully recovered, his campaign said, after the New York Times reported about the ailment.
What is whooping cough and should Canadians be concerned as Europe declares outbreak?
There is currently a whooping cough epidemic in Europe, with 10 times as many cases compared to the previous two years. While an outbreak has not been declared nationwide in Canada, whooping cough is regularly detected in the country.
Florida deputies who fatally shot U.S. airman burst into wrong apartment, attorney says
Deputies responding to a disturbance call at a Florida apartment complex burst into the wrong unit and fatally shot a Black U.S. Air Force airman who was home alone when they saw he was armed with a gun, an attorney for the man's family said Wednesday.
'A beautiful soul': Funeral held for baby boy killed in wrong-way crash on Highway 401
A funeral was held on Wednesday for a three-month-old boy who died after being involved in a wrong-way crash on Highway 401 in Whitby last week.